Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.374269 4.045318 4.795726 5.694216 6.737749 7.908426 9.317917
2025-06-29 2.346998 3.180476 4.213046 5.574647 7.309751 9.432563 12.210049
2025-07-06 1.744485 2.624384 3.812428 5.508155 7.835798 10.883854 15.135197
2025-07-13 1.464356 2.404768 3.768288 5.843738 8.866430 13.041016 19.157826
2025-07-20 1.222794 2.175426 3.648420 6.022238 9.663115 14.927353 22.971187
2025-07-27 1.064504 2.034837 3.623353 6.314438 10.630383 17.119274 27.391336
2025-08-03 0.886008 1.819079 3.434932 6.308412 11.118534 18.623426 30.905363
2025-08-10 0.709917 1.567338 3.138574 6.070553 11.189054 19.467353 33.454873
2025-08-17 0.574000 1.360241 2.881821 5.854354 11.252754 20.280967 35.992463
2025-08-24 0.489280 1.236895 2.756844 5.850282 11.667736 21.686003 39.573083
2025-08-31 0.421424 1.134120 2.653191 5.867180 12.112539 23.164987 43.371669
2025-09-07 0.358231 1.027095 2.521945 5.808852 12.404804 24.392178 46.816999
2025-09-14 0.285758 0.881437 2.286777 5.514172 12.227905 24.794222 48.903758
2025-09-21 0.243226 0.801162 2.182334 5.477729 12.550819 26.130683 52.755431
2025-09-28 0.207289 0.729013 2.083374 5.437668 12.858603 27.458696 56.682339
2025-10-05 0.196108 0.725300 2.149653 5.778047 13.989523 30.441264 63.879564
2025-10-12 0.178161 0.696394 2.147321 5.957592 14.793072 32.841639 70.127381
2025-10-19 0.166760 0.685312 2.189443 6.247972 15.863950 35.844970 77.715770
2025-10-26 0.145278 0.634487 2.115290 6.242300 16.273341 37.540446 82.858650
2025-11-02 0.119403 0.559696 1.959373 6.006734 16.131939 38.088954 85.760303
2025-11-09 0.098423 0.495355 1.820185 5.792571 16.013674 38.669001 88.751095
2025-11-16 0.086020 0.460299 1.762514 5.788546 16.394802 40.336385 94.059037
2025-11-23 0.075715 0.430300 1.714849 5.805290 16.827222 42.142872 99.759977